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· Sat 4 Feb, 16:30 · Season 2022/23
Dortmund 5 – 1 Freiburg
The model has not published an estimate for this match yet.
Market average, without operator names. Implied probability is computed after removing the margin (Shin method). Source: S01 · updated Sat 4 Feb, 16:30
| Outcome | Model | Consensus odds | Opening | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Dortmund | — | 1.68 | 1.68 | 57.8% |
| X · Draw | — | 4.16 | 4.17 | 22.7% |
| 2 · Freiburg | — | 4.82 | 4.83 | 19.5% |
Market margin: 4.3%
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No minute-by-minute data for this match.
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 26 Apr, 18:30Bundesliga | |||
| Sun 14 Dec, 16:30Bundesliga | |||
| Sat 5 Apr, 16:30Bundesliga | |||
| Sat 23 Nov, 16:30Bundesliga | |||
| Fri 9 Feb, 21:30Bundesliga | |||
| Sat 16 Sept, 16:30Bundesliga | |||
| Fri 12 Aug, 21:30Bundesliga | |||
| Fri 14 Jan, 21:30Bundesliga | |||
| Sat 21 Aug, 16:30Bundesliga |
Anonymous market-average odds, labelled only by source code. We show no operators and no links.
Source S01 · updated Sat 4 Feb, 16:30
| Outcome | Opening | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dortmund | 1.68 | 1.68 | 0.0%unchanged |
| Draw | 4.17 | 4.16 | -0.2%unchanged |
| Freiburg | 4.83 | 4.82 | -0.2%unchanged |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | +54 | 71 |
| |
| 2 | Dortmund (team in this match) | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | +39 | 71 |
| |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | +23 | 66 | ||
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +13 | 62 | |||
| 5 | (team in this match) | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 59 | ||
| 6 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +8 | 50 | |||
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | +6 | 50 | |||
| 8 | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | +9 | 49 | |||
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | -1 | 46 | |||
| 10 | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 43 | |||
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | -5 | 42 | |||
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | -9 | 36 | |||
| 13 | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | -13 | 36 | |||
| 14 | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | -32 | 35 | |||
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | -21 | 34 | |||
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | -12 | 33 | |||
| 17 | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | -36 | 31 | |||
| 18 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -27 | 29 |
| Sat 6 Feb, 16:30Bundesliga |
The model does not beat the closing market yet; we do not mark value.