Pick history

Every MarcAI system pick is recorded with a timestamp, compared with the closing odds and linked to the previous one by a hash. We publish the weak stretches too.

Numbers, not promises.

What the numbers honestly show

Our models do not beat the closing line yet, so value highlighting is switched off across the site. The ledger stays public precisely so you can check that. A negative average CLV means the market knew better than the model.

Picks marked “reconstructed” were recorded after the fact from predictions stored before the match, with the placement time set to kickoff minus one hour. We show them separately from picks recorded in real time.

Summary

The ledger has no picks yet. They appear here as soon as the system records its first pick.

Calibration

Not enough settled picks for calibration yet.

Model predicted probability (horizontal axis) against observed frequency (vertical axis), in 10 equal bins. Points on the diagonal mean a well-calibrated model; point size grows with the number of picks.

Calibration chart data
Bin	Predicted	Observed
0%–10%	—	—
10%–20%	—	—
20%–30%	—	—
30%–40%	—	—
40%–50%	—	—
50%–60%	—	—
60%–70%	—	—
70%–80%	—	—
80%–90%	—	—
90%–100%	—	—

Chain verification

The chain is empty: there are no picks to verify yet.

Checked at Thu 1 Oct, 08:41

Each hash = sha256(previous hash + canonical JSON of the pick). Anyone can recompute the chain from the public data.

Picks

No picks on this page.

Statistical information, not betting advice. MarcAI does not take bets and has no ties to any bookmaker. Play responsibly, 18+ only.