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· Wed 27 Jan, 20:00 · Season 2020/21
Burnley 3 – 2 Aston Villa
The model has not published an estimate for this match yet.
Market average, without operator names. Implied probability is computed after removing the margin (Shin method). Source: S01 · updated Wed 27 Jan, 20:00
| Outcome | Model | Consensus odds | Opening | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Burnley | — | 4.41 | 3.84 | 21.4% |
| X · Draw | — | 3.74 | 3.53 | 25.4% |
| 2 · Aston Villa | — | 1.82 | 2.00 | 53.3% |
Market margin: 4.4%
No minute-by-minute data for this match.
Stats are not available for this match.
Line-ups are not available.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 10 May, 16:00Premier League | |||
| Sun 5 Oct, 16:00Premier League | |||
| Sat 30 Dec, 17:00Premier League | |||
| Sun 27 Aug, 16:00Premier League | |||
| Thu 19 May, 22:00Premier League | |||
| Sat 7 May, 17:00Premier League | |||
| Thu 17 Dec, 20:00Premier League | |||
| Wed 1 Jan, 14:30Premier League | |||
| Sat 28 Sept, 17:00Premier League |
Anonymous market-average odds, labelled only by source code. We show no operators and no links.
Source S01 · updated Wed 27 Jan, 20:00
| Outcome | Opening | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 3.84 | 4.41 | +14.8%drifting |
| Draw | 3.53 | 3.74 | +5.9%drifting |
| Aston Villa | 2.00 | 1.82 | -9.0%shortening |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +51 | 86 |
| |
| 2 | Man United | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | +29 | 74 |
| |
| 3 | Liverpool | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | +26 | 69 | ||
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | +22 | 67 | |||
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | +18 | 66 | |||
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +15 | 65 | |||
| 7 | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | +23 | 62 | |||
| 8 | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | +16 | 61 | |||
| 9 | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | +8 | 59 | |||
| 10 | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | -1 | 59 | |||
| 11 | (team in this match) | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | +9 | 55 | ||
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | -16 | 45 | |||
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | -16 | 45 | |||
| 14 | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | -25 | 44 | |||
| 15 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | -21 | 43 | |||
| 16 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | -6 | 41 | |||
| 17 | (team in this match) | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -22 | 39 | ||
| 18 | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -26 | 28 | |||
| 19 | 38 | 5 | 11 | 22 | -41 | 26 | |||
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 29 | -43 | 23 |
The model does not beat the closing market yet; we do not mark value.