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· Wed 3 Apr, 22:15 · Season 2023/24
Man City 4 – 1 Aston Villa
The model has not published an estimate for this match yet.
Market average, without operator names. Implied probability is computed after removing the margin (Shin method). Source: S01 · updated Wed 3 Apr, 22:15
| Outcome | Model | Consensus odds | Opening | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Man City | — | 1.23 | 1.30 | 79.7% |
| X · Draw | — | 6.93 | 6.08 | 13.4% |
| 2 · Aston Villa | — | 12.59 | 9.06 | 7.0% |
Market margin: 3.7%
No minute-by-minute data for this match.
Stats are not available for this match.
Line-ups are not available.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 24 May, 18:00Premier League | |||
| Sun 26 Oct, 16:00Premier League | |||
| Tue 22 Apr, 22:00Premier League | |||
| Sat 21 Dec, 14:30Premier League | |||
| Wed 6 Dec, 22:15Premier League | |||
| Sun 12 Feb, 18:30Premier League | |||
| Sat 3 Sept, 19:30Premier League | |||
| Sun 22 May, 18:00Premier League | |||
| Wed 1 Dec, 22:15Premier League |
Anonymous market-average odds, labelled only by source code. We show no operators and no links.
Source S01 · updated Wed 3 Apr, 22:15
| Outcome | Opening | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Man City | 1.30 | 1.23 | -5.4%shortening |
| Draw | 6.08 | 6.93 | +14.0%drifting |
| Aston Villa | 9.06 | 12.59 | +39.0%drifting |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City (team in this match) | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | +62 | 91 |
| |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | +62 | 89 |
| |
| 3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | +45 | 82 | ||
| 4 | (team in this match) | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | +15 | 68 | ||
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | +13 | 66 | |||
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | +14 | 63 | |||
| 7 | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | +23 | 60 | |||
| 8 | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | -1 | 60 | |||
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | -14 | 52 | |||
| 10 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -1 | 49 | |||
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | -7 | 48 | |||
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | -11 | 48 | |||
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | -13 | 48 | |||
| 14 | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | -6 | 47 | |||
| 15 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | -15 | 46 | |||
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -9 | 39 | |||
| 17 | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | -18 | 36 | |||
| 18 | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | -33 | 26 | |||
| 19 | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | -37 | 24 | |||
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | -69 | 16 |
The model does not beat the closing market yet; we do not mark value.