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· Sat 10 Oct, 22:00 · Season 2026/27
Probabilistic estimates, not certainties. Model dc-pi-gbdt@2026.09.30 · computed Thu 1 Oct, 15:53
Market average, without operator names. Implied probability is computed after removing the margin (Shin method). Source: S03 · updated Thu 1 Oct, 15:51
| Outcome | Model | Consensus odds | Opening | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Real Madrid | 73.3% | 1.32 | 1.32 | 73.0% |
| X · Draw | 15.7% | 5.76 | 5.76 | 15.5% |
| 2 · Villarreal | 11.0% | 7.51 | 7.53 | 11.5% |
Market margin: 6.4%
No minute-by-minute data for this match.
Stats are not available for this match.
Line-ups are not available.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 24 Jan, 22:00LaLiga | |||
| Sat 4 Oct, 22:00LaLiga | |||
| Sat 15 Mar, 19:30LaLiga | |||
| Sat 5 Oct, 22:00LaLiga | |||
| Sun 19 May, 20:00LaLiga | |||
| Sun 17 Dec, 22:00LaLiga | |||
| Sat 8 Apr, 22:00LaLiga | |||
| Sat 7 Jan, 17:15LaLiga | |||
| Sat 12 Feb, 17:15LaLiga |
Anonymous market-average odds, labelled only by source code. We show no operators and no links.
Source S03 · updated Thu 1 Oct, 15:51
| Outcome | Opening | Latest | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 1.32 | 1.32 | 0.0%unchanged |
| Draw | 5.76 | 5.76 | 0.0%unchanged |
| Villarreal | 7.53 | 7.51 | -0.1%unchanged |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| |
| 2 | Ath Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 16 |
| |
| 3 | Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 16 | ||
| 4 | (team in this match) | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 15 | ||
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 | |||
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 | |||
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 | |||
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 10 | |||
| 9 | (team in this match) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 8 | ||
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 | |||
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 | |||
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 | |||
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 | |||
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 | |||
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | |||
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 7 | |||
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 | |||
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 | |||
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 | |||
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| Sat 25 Sept, 22:00LaLiga |
The model does not beat the closing market yet; we do not mark value.